Continuous Time Processes: Regularity, Filtration, Stopping Times
Warning
Unless otherwize specified, the letters
Definition
Let
is a modification of if -almost surely for every , that is
is indistinguishable from if for all , -almost surely, that is
In the case where the stochastic process is indexed by a countable set, these two notions are equivalent.
However, if it is indexed by
Example
Set
for every
whereas
We see that uncountably many sets of measure zero can add up to something that may no longer have measure zero. However, if we can infer from the structure of the trajectories that it is sufficient to consider countably many times, then these two conditions will coincide again.
We say that a process
-
des limites à gauche(1) (làg) if
-
des limites à droite (làd) if
-
continue à gauche (càg) if
-
continue à droide (càd) if
Note
The notations làg, làd, càd, or càg comes from french where "gauche" stands for "left", "droite" stands for "right", "limites" stands for "limits" and "continue" stands for "continuous". In some Americanized textbooks, "ll" stands for "làg", "lr" stands for "làd", "rc" stands for "càd", or "lc" stands for "càg".
A process
Lemma
Suppose that
Proof
Let
Hence,
Note
The assumption of left- or right-continuity is central. The counter example provided for distinction between version and indistinguishable are two làdlàg processes modification of each others while not indistinguishable.
The definition of a filtration
We say that the filtration is left- or right-continuous if
Remark
From the definition,
As such, a process is nothing else than an arbitrary family of random variables indexed by the time.
It can also be seen as a mapping
Definition
Given a filtration
-
measurable if
is measurable with respect to the product -algebra . -
adapted if
is -measurable for every . -
progressively measurable if for every
, the function , is measurable with respect to the product -algebra
In particular, progressively measurable processes are automatically adapted. The reciprocal is true if the paths of the process are regular enough.
Proposition
Let
Proof
Suppose that
It follows that
The previous result makes use of the regularity of paths to derive progressive measurability from adaptiveness. The following result goes a step further by showing that measurability together with adaptiveness yields progressive measurability, up to a modification though.
Theorem
Any measurable and adapted process admits a progressive modification.
The proof of this theorem is clearly not trivial, somewhat lengthy and often just mentioned like here without proof. If you are interested you can see Delacherie and Meyer12.
The notion of stopping times also has to be slightly modified in the continuous time.
Definition
On a probability space, a random time is a measurable mapping
- an optional time if
is in for every . - a stopping time if
is in for every .
Proposition
Every stopping time is an optional time, and every optional time is a stopping time for the right-filtration. In particular, the two notions coincide if the filtration is right-continuous.
Proof
The first assertion is trivial.
As for the second, let
For a process
This function is not necessarily measurable even if
Proposition
If
Proof
It holds
For the case of
Let us collect some standard properties of optional and stopping times.
Proposition
The following assertions hold:
- Every constant
is a stopping time; , and are stopping/optional times as soon as are stopping/optional times; is a stopping time as soon as is an increasing sequence of stopping times; is an optional time as soon as is a decreasing sequence of optional times; It is a stopping time if are stationary stopping times, that is, for all greater than a given , for -almost all ;- If
is a stopping time, then the collection is a -algebra and is -measurable; - For any two stopping times, it holds
. In particular, , if . For every integrable random variable , it holds .
Proof
The proof follows the same argumentation as in the discrete time since
-
Let
and be two stopping times, let us show that the sum is still a stopping time. Noting that is a stopping time if and only if is in for every , the following decomposition holdsNoting that
is in , the same for being in , it follows immediately that the first two sets are in . Further, is in and is in showing that the third set in this decomposition is in . As for the last one, note thatwhich is for the same reason as before in
since . -
Suppose that
is a decreasing sequence of optional times. It follows from is in that is an optional time. If are stopping times, it only holds is in and therefore is optional. However, defining , it follows from stationarity that is increasing to . Furthermore, is an event in and hence is in .
Proposition
Let
Proof
First,
The null sets on a probability space play a central role. They allow to identify random variables in the almost sure sense. With regard to a filtration indexed by an uncountable time set, this may yield some tricky problems — this is mainly due to the problem of right-continuous version of processes not further discussed here, see Theorem III-44 p.~64, Theorems IV-32-33 pp.~102--103 From Delacherie-Meyer1. In order to get rid of these problems and the identification between optional and stopping times we will work with the following assumption.
Definition
A filtration
-
be complete if
contains all the -negligible sets of ; -
satisfy the usual conditions if it is complete and right-continuous, that is
.
From now on, unless otherwise specified:
For a stopping/optional time
Proposition
Let
This proposition is also particularly difficult to prove buy it basically shows that the jumps can be described by stopping times.
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Claude Dellacherie and Paul-André Meyer. Probabilities and Potential. A. Volume 29 of North-Holland Mathematics Studies. North-Holland Publishing Co., Amsterdam, 1978. ISBN 0-7204-0701-X. ↩↩
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Claude Dellacherie and Paul André Meyer. Probabilities and Potential. B. Volume 72 of North-Holland Mathematics Studies. North-Holland Publishing Co., Amsterdam, 1982. ↩